ReefState model predictions
ReefState (version 3.0) utilises a Bayesian Network modelling framework to integrate lower-level submodels of future warming, coral damage, coral recovery, coral adaptation, and algal herbivory, into a continuous causal chain. The integrated model allows prediction of ecological endpoints that reflect important management concerns, namely coral cover and composition. The purpose of the ReefState model is to investigate the long-term implications on coral reef resilience of projected increases in the frequency and intensity of coral bleaching events. And more specifically, how successful management outcomes (viz. water quality, fishing pressure, and no take zones) might interact to benefit coral reefs during the period of climate warming that is expected in the coming decades. Details pertaining to the rationale, development and application of the individual submodels and integrating framework can be found within the refereed journal articles:Wooldridge S, Berkelmans R, Done TJ, Jones RN, Marshall P (2005). Precursors for resilience in coral communities in a warming climate: a belief network approach. Marine Ecology Progress Series 295:157-169.Wooldridge S, Done TJ (2004). Learning to predict large-scale coral bleaching from past events: A Bayesian approach using remotely sensed data, in-situ data, and environmental proxies. Coral Reefs 23: 96-108.
Données et ressources
-
Learning to predict large-scale coral bleaching from past events: A Bayesian approach using remotely sensed data, in-situ data, and environmental proxies:…HTML Ouvrir
-
Precursors for resilience in coral communities in a warming climate: a belief network approach: Wooldridge SA, Done TJ, Berkelmans RWC, Jones R and Marshall PA…HTML Ouvrir
-
Global Climate Change and Coral Bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef. Final Report to the State of Queensland Greenhouse Taskforce through the Department of…HTML Ouvrir
-
Testing bleaching resistance hypotheses for the 2002 Great Barrier Reef Bleaching Event: Done TJ, Turak EI, Wakeford M, Kininmonth SJ, Wooldridge SA, Berkelmans…HTML Ouvrir
-
audio/basic Ouvrir
-
audio/basic Ouvrir
-
audio/basic Ouvrir
-
audio/basic Ouvrir
-
License GraphicPNG Ouvrir
-
HTML Ouvrir
Informations supplémentaires
| Date (revision) | 2026-10-24 |
|---|---|
| Statut | completed |
| Fréquence de mise à jour | notPlanned |
| Langue des métadonnées | en |
| Licence | Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 |
| Métadonnées sources | ISO 19115 XML |
| Dernière mise à jour | 2026-11-05 |
| Créé | 2026-11-05 |
| API | package_show |